Radiobiology > Stochastic Effects > No-Threshold Models of Risk
No-Threshold Models of Risk
The excess risk for solid tumor formation in survivors of Nagasaki and Hiroshima bombings follows a dose response curve best described by a linear or linear-quadratic function. There is no statistically significant advantage to using the more complex linear-quadratic expression for estimating solid tumor risk. For leukemia data, however, a linear quadratic model is most appropriate.
Only the linear and linear-quadratic functions are currently recognized by major risk assessment and management agencies. The figure below summarizes all potential functions offered to explain low dose exposures and cancer risk.
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Alternative relationships for cancer risk vs. radiation dose as extrapolate to low-dose exposures, given a known risk at a high dose: supra-linearity (A), linear (B), linear-quadratic (C) and hormesis, which implies a biologically beneficial effect at low dose (D). |